SuperCoach Plus: 11 things you need to know for round 16 of the AFL season

There’s a captaincy option that can’t be ignored this week with a monster score on the cards. Plus, inside the scoring of struggling premiums, the leading bubble boy and more.

Captains have plagued KFC SuperCoaches this year but there is one option that stands head and shoulders above the rest.

And for those who are unsure who to trade in for Tom Stewart, there is a frontrunner who can’t be ignored.

In this week’s SuperCoach Plus article we take you inside the scoring of some struggling premiums, the favourable upcoming opponent for ruckman outline the standout downgrde option and more with 11 nuggets to help your side in the run home.

Clayton Oliver could be in for another monster score. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images
Clayton Oliver could be in for another monster score. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

1. OLIVER’S BUNNY

Sticking the VC or C on Clayton Oliver this week is a no-brainer. The ball-magnet has amassed staggering totals of 199 and 203 in his past two matches against Adelaide at Adelaide Oval and averages a whopping 132 points against the Crows across his career – the most of any player. SuperCoach Plus projects Oliver to score a whopping 193 points, which would see his price hurtle to $716k.

2. IF NOT OLIVER…

While Oliver is the clear standout, several other appealing captaincy options are on offer this round. Jack Macrae averages a formidable 134.5 points in 11 outings against Brisbane, with the dependable Dog projected to score 143 points. Jack Steele, who made a promising return from a shoulder injury last week, averages 125.3 points across 10 clashes with Carlton, while Patrick Cripps doesn’t mind playing St Kilda, going at 122.7 points per game from nine meetings.

3. IN HARMES’ WAY

Lachie Neale did extremely well to score 111 last round from a season-low 22 disposals. It was all down to efficiency, as he had just two negative acts for the match which were both clanger kicks – losing 6.8 points from his score. Neale burst out of the blocks and looked to be on track for a monster score, but was kept in check after quarter time by Demons stopper James Harmes, who kept Neale to just nine disposals in the 54 minutes they were matched up.

4. GO-AHEAD GOALS

SuperCoach has different weighting for the moments that count, and two goals in the dying minutes in the Geelong-Richmond epic were awarded accordingly. Maurice Rioli’s set shot goal with two minutes left in the final term was worth 12 points, while Jack Henry’s tallied 12.3 points for his matchwinning major a minute later. Hours later, Luke Parker’s late goal against St Kilda when the game was dead and buried was worth just the four points.

Jack Sinclair had a limited influence over the weekend. Picture: Albert Perez/AFL Photos/via Getty Images
Jack Sinclair had a limited influence over the weekend. Picture: Albert Perez/AFL Photos/via Getty Images

5. SINCLAIR SAT ON

Rebounder Jack Sinclair was tagged for the first time this season and it had a significant impact on his output. Sydney John Longmire sent Ryan Clarke to the SuperCoach sensation, restricting Sinclair to 11 disposals in the 54 minutes they were matched up. Sinclair was moved into the forward line to break the tag, where he had spent most of his career before being switched into defence and through the midfield. He finished with a season-low 17 disposals and 79 points, but the fact he was still able to post a solid score with that attention was a slight positive.

6. D1 DAWSON

Jordan Dawson shapes as the standout candidate to replace Tom Stewart, if you have an extra $30k lying around. The Crows recruit had solid start to the season but has gone to another level since round 8, averaging 27 disposals, 122 points and recording a 79 per cent kicking efficiency. From round 1-7, Dawson tallied 23 disposals, 98 points and went at 73 per cent by foot. Dawson is currently $593,300 after posting scores of 134 and 140 in his last two matches and is projected to rise nearly $20k this week. With Stewart suspended for four weeks, Dawson looms as the No. 1 defender from here.

7. WHY TRAC FAILED TO TON

Christian Petracca has frustrated owners by averaging just 86.6 points from his last five games – compared to 116.8 in his previous nine matches – but there were signs that his SuperCoach slump is starting to turn against Brisbane. Petracca racked up 31 disposals, 14 contested possessions, and eight clearances, however, he didn’t get the reward for his disposals. The Demons beast went at just 45 per cent by foot from his 20 kicks and lost 12.3 points to negative acts, which was reflected in his 97-point score. Petracca has fared well in recent clashes against the Crows, posting totals of 126, 116 and 132 in his last three matches, and he is certainly due.

8. MASSIMO LEADING THE WAY

Massimo D’Ambrosio is currently the most traded in player ahead of round 16 and is the standout bubble boy on offer. The mid-season draftee is renowned for his ball-use and his elite kicking has been on display for the Bombers off halfback, hitting the target with 14 of his 17 kicks in his first two matches. After posting solid scores of 51 and 53, D’Ambrosio is projected to rise $42,900 this week and is at basement rookie price.

Massimo D'Ambrosio shapes as a nice downgrade option. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images
Massimo D'Ambrosio shapes as a nice downgrade option. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

9. RUCK FEAST FOR POWER OPPONENTS

Port Adelaide has switched to a smaller ruck division in recent weeks and it has paid off. Since round 12, the Power has had the worst hitout win rate of any side but its hitout-to-advantage rate is the best in the league, ranking second in the competition for clearance differential over this period. Why is that relevant to SuperCoach? Well, with Scott Lycett still a few weeks away, it means Ken Hinkley is likely to persist with Jeremy Finlayson and Charlie Dixon in the ruck, and that opposition ruckmen can go to town. Jarrod Witts was case in point on Sunday, tallying a whopping 18 hit-outs-to-advantage and 18 contested possessions on the way to 148 points, regularly taking the ball directly out of the ruck and finding his teammates with his tapwork. Sean Darcy, Braydon Preuss and Max Gawn face the Power in the next three weeks and will be licking their lips.

Isaac Heeney managed the 59 points against St Kilda. Picture: Brendon Thorne/AFL Photos/via Getty Images
Isaac Heeney managed the 59 points against St Kilda. Picture: Brendon Thorne/AFL Photos/via Getty Images

10. HEENEY THE `FORWARD?

Isaac Heeney owners were tearing their hair out over the weekend, but it could have been a lot worse. Heeney spent the entire match up forward against the Saints and finished with a season-low 11 disposals and failed to win a contested possession for the first time this year. His three effective kicks for the night were all goals, and equated to 20.1 of his overall 59 points. As Fantasy Freako tweeted on Saturday night, Heeney hasn’t had much luck against the Saints in recent times, managing scores of 54, 55 and 67 in his previous three matches.

11. ROOKIE’S NIGHT TO FORGET

Our heart goes out to rookie Callum Jamieson, who has shown some promising signs since debuting this year, but the young ruckman posted the lowest score by anyone to play a full match this year against Essendon. Jamieson only had six acts for the match, half of those being negative, losing 7.9 points from his overall score to finish on -4. Not exactly the best Tim English cover for those who were desperate… He wasn’t helped by his time-on-ground, either, spending just 57 per cent of the match on-field.

Originally published as SuperCoach Plus: 11 things you need to know for round 16 of the AFL season